Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 174.060425 206.413495 246.084565 299.348211 370.681669 4.655682e+02 6.062697e+02
2025-01-12 131.189257 168.213100 219.394163 298.850867 426.593169 6.403108e+02 1.071810e+03
2025-01-19 108.587345 145.861387 201.333923 296.098146 469.780055 8.190324e+02 1.763300e+03
2025-01-26 98.073272 137.134064 199.185751 315.064414 557.134898 1.153841e+03 3.532713e+03
2025-02-02 93.600094 136.118581 208.223210 356.114698 714.474801 1.861301e+03 1.068074e+04
2025-02-09 83.611993 124.178929 195.472993 349.712582 758.605556 2.321495e+03 2.488555e+04
2025-02-16 77.211168 117.145294 189.948577 356.605375 844.927703 3.169825e+03 1.203915e+05
2025-02-23 70.838105 109.180308 181.021112 352.755710 898.154831 4.061032e+03 2.807641e+06
2025-03-02 65.843981 102.998638 174.452065 352.624599 966.761970 5.423228e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 62.201586 98.814306 171.182064 360.029093 1073.958759 7.992719e+03 NaN
2025-03-16 57.892925 92.877235 163.253720 352.457805 1114.299941 1.037068e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 56.801880 92.947387 168.310636 383.914210 1381.279268 2.383122e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 52.611710 86.743974 158.899684 370.457887 1407.285352 3.378857e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 49.611853 82.662261 153.895425 370.172196 1524.514006 6.785333e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 46.774210 78.614256 148.352488 366.447826 1621.645090 1.541379e+05 NaN
2025-04-20 45.673207 77.999070 150.947157 392.255767 2008.866408 9.488815e+06 NaN
2025-04-27 45.808229 79.971368 160.355003 448.850196 2917.659629 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 43.358714 76.125232 154.065289 439.958939 3067.060453 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 41.784789 74.049549 152.190111 449.532622 3549.153349 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 39.859290 71.028310 147.328324 444.182286 3798.204009 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 38.256356 68.601851 143.802191 444.000216 4184.152265 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 37.079952 67.042320 142.502733 454.298125 4919.434219 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 35.423777 64.261943 137.370219 443.768608 5105.207641 NaN NaN